Will the highest temperature in London reach 15°C on November 12, 2026, by 18:00 UTC?

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  • Yes 48%
  • No 52%

Resolution

Closes Nov 12, 2026, 18:00 UTC

Resolution rules

Trading closes Nov 12, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, and the answer is read then. Resolves YES if the sources show the answer to the question is yes, and NO if they show it is no. Criteria: YES if the Met Office reports that the daily maximum temperature at its primary official London station for November 12, 2026, reached at least 15°C by 18:00 UTC, using the raw reported value rather than a rounded figure. Sources: Met Office's official site (https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/forecast/gcpvj0v07, https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/forecast/regional/se) and the approved science sites (weather.com, openweathermap.org, accuweather.com, wunderground.com, timeanddate.com, meteoblue.com). If the AI can't establish the answer from these sources by the deadline, it reads them again with a different search and different judges. If it still can't, the market goes to manual review and is settled by ULTRAMINT. If a source is down or the AI check fails, the market goes to review and waits for an operator. It's never voided automatically in that case.

Early resolution

The AI checks this market's sources every 1 hour. As soon as they show the answer is YES for good, the market resolves YES and trading stops.

A NO is only decided at the deadline.

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